Some earth-shattering news broke today after a new poll was released showing former reality show star Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton by 4 points in Ohio. The game is over. Donald will win Ohio – only if you count voters over 50-years-old. Unless there are no young people in Ohio, this poll is total bullshit.
With eight weeks to go before Election Day, Donald Trump holds a narrow lead over Hillary Clinton in Ohio and the two are locked in a near-even contest in Florida, according to new CNN/ORC polls in the two critical battleground states.
Among likely voters in Ohio, Trump stands at 46% to Clinton’s 41%, with 8% behind Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2% behind Green Party nominee Jill Stein. In Florida, likely voters split 47% for Trump to 44% for Clinton, within the poll’s 3.5 percentage point margin of error, and with 6% behind Johnson and 1% backing Stein.
That’s super-scary, isn’t it? This part stands out:
One big difference this time between younger and older voters: Support for Gary Johnson. In both states, Johnson reaches double-digits among those voters under age 45 who say they are likely to turn out, while he gets low-single-digit support among older voters.
That’s a cool story, CNN. The problem here is that there are no younger voters listed in the poll. Looking at the polls, they show an age demographic breakdown and both are marked NA for less than 50-years-old.
C’mon, Ohio, what have you done with all of your younger residents, you bastards!
Here is Donald bragging about the poll on Twitter.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 14, 2016
How Earth-shattering is this poll? Well FiveThirtyEight has Donald’s chances at winning the keys to the White House looking bleak:
Donald Trump has a 33 percent chance of winning the election according to our polls-only forecast and a 34 percent chance according to polls-plus. These roughly 1 in 3 odds are close to Trump’s highs since the party conventions.
All we can say here is to scrutinize polls. Look at the demographics. At this point, CNN’s poll falls into the ‘deplorable’ category.
Image via Getty on file.